{"id":1947,"date":"2020-04-24T14:28:07","date_gmt":"2020-04-24T14:28:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/?p=1947"},"modified":"2020-05-18T14:48:49","modified_gmt":"2020-05-18T14:48:49","slug":"la-cuarentena-y-la-demanda-electrica-en-uruguay-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/la-cuarentena-y-la-demanda-electrica-en-uruguay-2\/","title":{"rendered":"LA CUARENTENA Y LA DEMANDA EL\u00c9CTRICA EN URUGUAY (2)"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Columna de opini\u00f3n: Oscar Ferre\u00f1o. Director de Relaciones Institucionales & Regulaci\u00f3n de Ventus<\/em><\/p>\n

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Han pasado 40 d\u00edas de la cuarentena. Complementando el an\u00e1lisis realizado en los primeros 15 d\u00edas en el mes de marzo<\/a>, vamos a ver c\u00f3mo ha evolucionado la demanda el\u00e9ctrica uruguaya frente al episodio de cuarentena que vive nuestro pa\u00eds debido a los efectos de la pandemia del Coronavirus (Covid-19).<\/p>\n

Para realizar este an\u00e1lisis se compar\u00f3 la demanda entre el s\u00e1bado 14 de marzo y el martes 21 de abril de 2020, con la del mismo per\u00edodo de 2019. En ambos per\u00edodos est\u00e1 incluida la semana santa y el feriado correspondiente al 19 de abril, y en ambos casos hubo seis s\u00e1bados y seis domingos, por lo que las muestras son comparables.<\/p>\n

Se consider\u00f3 que en este per\u00edodo no se registraron grandes variaciones clim\u00e1ticas, ya que al considerar per\u00edodos de\u00a040 d\u00edas no deber\u00eda haber grandes variaciones de temperatura entre un periodo y otro que pudieran afectar la demanda en forma significativa.<\/p>\n

En ese per\u00edodo la demanda del 2019 fue de 1:056.147 MWh, y en el 2020 fue de 1:025.631 MWh. Es decir, durante la cuarentena, hubo un decrecimiento de la demanda de 2.9% en el a\u00f1o 2020.<\/p>\n

Como se coment\u00f3 en anteriores columnas, debe considerarse el crecimiento vegetativo de la demanda, que representa el crecimiento normal del consumo.<\/p>\n

Para estimar este crecimiento tomamos como muestra el per\u00edodo que comprende del 1ro. de enero al 28 de febrero de 2020, con la del mismo per\u00edodo de 2019. Se toma este per\u00edodo considerando que ambos son comparables debido a que tienen ocho fines de semana y ambos periodos comprenden carnaval.<\/p>\n

Comparativamente, entre ambos per\u00edodos hubo un decrecimiento de 0,2% entre el 2019 y 2020. Por lo tanto, podr\u00edamos afirmar que la cuarentena ha significado un decrecimiento de la demanda de un 2.7 %.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Sin embargo, si consideramos solamente los primeros 21 d\u00edas de abril, periodos que comprenden en los dos a\u00f1os la semana santa y tres s\u00e1bados y tres domingos, la ca\u00edda de la demanda ha sido de 6,1 %.<\/strong><\/p>\n

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La demanda por fuente de energ\u00eda<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nuevamente es interesante comparar c\u00f3mo se abasteci\u00f3 esa demanda en estas semanas de cuarentena y las mismas semanas del a\u00f1o pasado.<\/p>\n

Entre el s\u00e1bado 14 de marzo y el martes 21 de abril de 2020, la e\u00f3lica represent\u00f3 el 49.5%, la hidr\u00e1ulica el 16%, la biomasa el 10.5%, la FV el 4. 5%, la t\u00e9rmica el 1%, se import\u00f3 un 24% y se export\u00f3 un 5.5%.<\/p>\n

Mientras que en el mismo per\u00edodo del a\u00f1o 2019 la e\u00f3lica represent\u00f3 el 39%, la hidr\u00e1ulica el 77.5%, la biomasa el 9%, la FV el 4.5%, la t\u00e9rmica el 0.5% y se export\u00f3 el 30.5%.<\/p>\n

Debe tenerse en cuenta que la e\u00f3lica en el 2019 tuvo restricciones operativas debido a la gran hidraulicidad.<\/p>\n

Vea tambi\u00e9n: https:\/\/ventusenergia.com\/blog\/2020\/04\/06\/la-cuarentena-y-la-demanda-electrica-en-uruguay\/<\/a><\/p>\n

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Opinion column: Oscar Ferre\u00f1o. Director of Institutional Relations & Regulation of Ventus
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\n<\/em><\/p>\n

Forty days have passed since the quarantine startes. Complementing the analysis carried out in the first 15 days in March, we will see how Uruguayan electricity demand has evolved in the face of the quarantine episode that our country is experiencing due to the effects of the Coronavirus pandemic (Covid-19).<\/p>\n

To carry out this analysis, the demand was compared between Saturday, March 14 and Tuesday, April 21, 2020, with that of the same period in 2019. In both periods, Easter and the holiday were considered in the analysis, and in both cases were six Saturdays and Sundays took place, so the samples are comparable.<\/p>\n

It was considered that in this period no great climatic variations took place, since when considering 40-day periods, there should be no great variations in temperature between one period and another that could significantly affect the energy demand.<\/p>\n

In that period, the demand for 2019 was 1: 056,147 MWh, and in 2020 it was 1: 025,631 MWh. In other words, during quarantine, there was a decrease in demand of 2.9% in 2020.
\nAs mentioned in previous columns, the vegetative growth of demand must be considered. This represents the normal growth of consumption.<\/p>\n

To estimate this growth, we considered a sample the period comprising the 1st. from January to February 28, 2020, with that of the same period of 2019. This period is analyzed considering that both are comparable because they have eight weekends and both periods take place the carnivals. Comparatively, between both periods there was a decrease of 0.2% between 2019 and 2020. Therefore, we could stress that quarantine has meant a decrease in demand of 2.7%.<\/strong><\/p>\n

However, if we consider only the first 21 days of April, periods that include Easter in the two years and three Saturdays and three Sundays, the drop in the energy demand has been 6.1%.<\/p>\n

Demand by energy source<\/strong><\/p>\n

It is interesting to compare how the energy demand was supplied in these weeks of quarantine and the same weeks of \u00a0last year.
\nBetween Saturday, March 14 and Tuesday, April 21, 2020, wind represented 49.5%, hydro 16%, biomass 10.5%, PV 4.5%, thermal 1%, 24% of the energy was imported and 5.5% were exported. In the same period of 2019, wind represented 39%, hydro 77.5%, biomass 9%, PV 4.5%, thermal 0.5% and 30.5% were exported.
\nIt should be borne in mind that wind power in 2019 had operating restrictions due to high hydraulicity.<\/p>\n

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  [tp lang=\u00bbes\u00bb not_in=\u00bben\u00bb] Columna de opini\u00f3n: Oscar Ferre\u00f1o. Director de Relaciones Institucionales & Regulaci\u00f3n de Ventus Han pasado 40 d\u00edas de la cuarentena. Complementando el an\u00e1lisis realizado en los primeros 15 d\u00edas en el mes de marzo, vamos a ver c\u00f3mo ha evolucionado la demanda el\u00e9ctrica uruguaya frente al episodio de cuarentena que vive […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,59,40],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1947","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-recurso-eolico","category-recurso-solar","category-uruguay"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1947","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1947"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1947\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1962,"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1947\/revisions\/1962"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1947"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1947"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ventus.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1947"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}